Weather TALK [forecasts, etc]

[mazzipino]

Still far away, so it can deviate from its current track. Expected to enter Philippine Area around Tuesday next week. Expected 185-230 kph wind speed is deeply disturbing.



http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/tra...c/200922W.html

Let's hope this one veers north before hitting the PAR like the last one....

[Jun aka Pekto]

Seems there is, I guess. From Gray (thinness) to Red (thickest).
Try to look at the color coding:

http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/sat_images/satpic.jpg

Those are the temperatures of the tops of clouds at different heights. It still doesn't show the thickness of the clouds or what's underneath although you can make some assumptions if you're well-versed in the dynamics of the storm. Still, that will leave you wrong as much as being right without other tools.

[Jun aka Pekto]

Long-range products show the new system tracking over the northern Philippines and on to Hainan/North Vietnam. Let's see how dependable the forecast models are this far out. Hint: I wouldn't bet money on it.

Seriously though. for those in the northern half of Luzon..... Brace yourself again if the forecast models are right. Now would be the time to find safer ground which in itself is hard enough to do.

[_Cathy_]

Is it true that another super typhoon is threatening to come our way? It sounds scary at 230 kph. The name "Lupit" is not helping either.

[emms1121]

Wag naman sana tayo madirect hit. Ang nakakatakot ngayon kahit signal number 1 lang e ang dami ng volume of rain na dala ng bagyo..

[testament11]

eto si lupit, international name niya. pag pumasok, ramil ata ang name niya or something close to it



http://www.wunderground.com/tropical.../wp200922.html

[renzo_d10]

^^ Mukhang palihis na. Sana hindi na tamaan ang luzon.

[testament11]

at kung sa tingin ninyo lilihis ang bagyo, prepare north luzon once again...



how i wish na sana eh hindi ito talaga dumating. sa mga taga north, magdasal po tayo at pagdasal natin lahat ito

[chua_riwap]

Latest update.

Dasal na lang tayo, sana po lumihis nga.......:pope:



http://www.abs-cbnnews.com/nation/10...hoon-intensity

(UPDATE) 'Lupit' starts gaining strength


MANILA - Tropical storm "Lupit" has gained strength as it moved slightly nearer to Philippine territory on Friday morning, weather bureau PAGASA said.

As of 11 a.m., the storm was estimated at 1,300 kilometers east of Bicol region with stronger center winds of 75 kilometers per hour and gustiness of up to 90 kph.

PAGASA said the storm has maintained its direction and speed, moving west northwest at 26 kph. The bureau said the storm was heading towards central and northern Luzon area.

"This weather system is expected to further intensify before it enters the Philippine area of responsibility this evening (Friday night)," the weather bureau said.

Nathaniel Cruz, PAGASA’s weather forecasting bureau chief, said the tropical storm might enter the Philippine area of responsibility at 10 p.m. Friday or early Saturday.

Cruz said the storm will be named Ramil once it enters Philippine territory. It will be the 18th storm to enter the country this year.

The weather forecaster said PAGASA expects Lupit to strengthen further while crossing "the vast Philippine sea," and forewarned residents already devastated by storms Ondoy (international codename Ketsana) and Pepeng (Parma) to be prepared "for an intense typhoon."

"It can reach almost the supertyphoon intensity before hitting land, if and when there will be no change in its course, direction and speed," Cruz said.

The new storm, which was first spotted over the Marianas Islands, threatens to hit Luzon areas as its residents scramble to recover from the twin storms that devastated thousands of hectares of residential and agricultural areas in the last three weeks.

[_Cathy_]

If they are saying that victims of Ondoy should prepare for the super typhoon, does that mean that there is a possibiliy that Metro Manila will be a direct hit? :cry: