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  1. Join Date
    Mar 2014
    Posts
    355
    #8851
    The rally in crude oil has faded. Increase in number of short positions...

  2. Join Date
    Mar 2014
    Posts
    355
    #8852
    The yen keeps gaining strength despite negative rates and all. There's not a lot the BOJ can do. This is simply reflecting receding Fed rate hike expectations.

  3. Join Date
    Feb 2008
    Posts
    12,683
    #8853
    Japan is getting expensive again...

    Sent from my SM-N910C using Tapatalk

  4. Join Date
    Mar 2014
    Posts
    355
    #8854
    The dollar has bottomed.


  5. Join Date
    Mar 2014
    Posts
    355
    #8855
    So there won't be a coordinated production freeze. No surprise there. Saudi Arabia wasn't very enthusiastic about restraining production in the first place. The reason is logical -- if they do anything to cause oil prices to rise too high too soon higher-cost producers will come back. It would put at risk their strategy to drive higher-cost producers out of business. Saudi Arabia would rather see low oil prices hurt all producers (including itself) than see competitors thrive.

  6. Join Date
    Mar 2014
    Posts
    355
    #8856
    The market has forgotten about what happened in Doha. Brent is trading above $45.


    Low oil prices have taken its toll on U.S. oil production -- now below 9 million barrels per day.

  7. Join Date
    Mar 2014
    Posts
    355
    #8857
    Brent nears $47.

    Oil prices are defying fundamentals. With Iran ramping up production and Saudi Arabia capable of increasing production shouldn't oil prices be falling? Only if you believe oil trades on fundamentals alone. The Fed is expected keep rates unchanged which is weighing on the dollar which is driving oil prices higher.

  8. Join Date
    Mar 2014
    Posts
    355
    #8858
    BOJ no action.

  9. Join Date
    Mar 2014
    Posts
    355
    #8859


    Part of the sharp decline in USDJPY is because of U.S. dollar weakness but an exacerbating factor is the forced selling of dollars by Japanese corporates. Some weeks ago USDJPY appeared to have bottomed which made corporates feel less urgency to hedge downside risk but the magnitude of decline last week forced corporates rushing to protect against further yen appreciation. This put more downside pressure on USDJPY.

  10. Join Date
    May 2016
    Posts
    2
    #8860
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