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  1. Join Date
    Oct 2006
    Posts
    5,994
    #8721
    Damn, son! Where'd you find this?

  2. Join Date
    Mar 2014
    Posts
    355
    #8722
    The Fed monetary policy statement tonight will be a non-event. I'm no longer hoping for a Fed rate hike to drive the dollar higher. Now I'm looking to other central banks to drive their currencies lower. Pressure is now on the BOJ to weaken the yen after the ECB talked the euro lower last week.

  3. Join Date
    Mar 2014
    Posts
    355

  4. Join Date
    Mar 2014
    Posts
    355
    #8724
    Probability of a Fed rate hike in December is now 70%.


    My EURUSD 1.05 December target seemed like a longshot weeks ago. I was feeling lonely with my EURUSD short while everyone was predicting a stronger euro. Now my target is in sight.

  5. Join Date
    Oct 2012
    Posts
    27,624
    #8725
    this confirms eastwests' analyst prediction. hopefully it happens in 2016 not 2015 though.

  6. Join Date
    Feb 2008
    Posts
    12,683
    #8726
    Quote Originally Posted by Lady Bathory View Post
    Probability of a Fed rate hike in December is now 70%.


    My EURUSD 1.05 December target seemed like a longshot weeks ago. I was feeling lonely with my EURUSD short while everyone was predicting a stronger euro. Now my target is in sight.
    Time to plan for a Euro vacay!

  7. Join Date
    Mar 2014
    Posts
    355
    #8727
    Recent comments from some ECB officials are making EURUSD shorters (like me) nervous. They're suggesting there's no need for more easing. Those comments kept EURUSD in consolidation mode. I guess it's because the euro has already weakened. A weak euro will help boost growth and inflation in the eurozone which is the ECB's goal. If the euro keeps falling before the December ECB meeting it could eliminate the need for more easing.

  8. Join Date
    Mar 2014
    Posts
    355
    #8728
    So far the Paris attacks has no impact on Fed rate hike expectations as Fed fund futures hold steady. EURUSD continues going in the direction i want it to go. U.S. dollar strength is across the board today and with dollar strength comes pressure on commodities.

  9. Join Date
    Oct 2012
    Posts
    27,624
    #8729
    Quote Originally Posted by Lady Bathory View Post
    So far the Paris attacks has no impact on Fed rate hike expectations as Fed fund futures hold steady. EURUSD continues going in the direction i want it to go. U.S. dollar strength is across the board today and with dollar strength comes pressure on commodities.
    Will gold price go down after December? Maybe sub 1000?

  10. Join Date
    Mar 2014
    Posts
    355
    #8730
    Dollar index nears 100.

World economy talk