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May 23rd, 2022 10:45 PM #171Sa ganda ng presyuhan ng lupa at bahay, kumonti tuloy ang nag-aanak.
Asia’s advanced economies now have lower birth rates than Japan | The Economist
The list of things for which Japan enjoys a global reputation includes delicious food, cutting-edge technology, an oversupply of karaoke bars and an undersupply of babies. In 1990 it published a record-low fertility rate for the previous year—the so-called “1.57 shock”. For years it has been seen as a harbinger of how rich societies will age and shrink.
Much of Asia has now caught up with or overtaken it. Japan’s fertility rate of 1.3 in 2020, the latest year for which comparable figures are available, puts it on a par with mainland China, according to the Population Research Bureau, an American outfit. China’s birth rate is likely already to have fallen behind Japan’s: there were 10.6m Chinese births last year, down from 12m in 2020, a decline of 11%. The number of births fell only 3% in Japan.
Japanese fertility is still ultra-low compared with almost any society in human history. Yet it is now higher than that of any well-off East Asian or South-East Asian economy. The numbers in Hong Kong, Macau, Singapore, South Korea and Taiwan ranged between 0.8 and 1.1 in 2020 (see chart). Nor is this a temporary blip caused by the pandemic: Japan’s figure was higher than all those countries in 2019, too.
Rich, baby-averse Asian countries in the region have three things in common. First, their people rarely have children outside marriage. Only around 2% of births in Japan and South Korea are to unmarried mothers, the lowest levels in the oecd, a club of rich countries. In wealthy Western countries that figure is typically between 30% and 60%. In China, the few who become pregnant out of wedlock are often denied benefits. The region’s decline in births has closely tracked a decline in marriages. The age at which people commit to a lifetime of entanglement has also been rising, further delaying child-bearing.
A second shared factor is expensive schooling. Pricey private tutoring and other wallet-emptying forms of “shadow education”, as such extras are known, are common in East Asia. The most frequent reason cited by Japanese couples for having fewer children is the cost of raising and educating them. Lucy Crehan, an education researcher, says that these problems might be even worse in other parts of Asia. Japanese pupils face their first high-stakes exams only at the age of 15. In contrast, children in Shanghai and Singapore must take such tests as early as primary school, piling on the parental pressure to perform and adding to the family’s tuition bills.
Yet it is the third factor that might explain why Japan is out-sprogging its rich Asian peers. A flurry of research in recent years suggests that high house prices cause young couples to delay having children. One paper found that an increase of $10,000 in house prices in America led to a 5% increase in fertility rates among homeowners, but a 2.4% decrease among non-owners. Across much of East Asia and especially in urban China, buying a home is an uphill struggle for young people. South Korea, whose fertility rate of 0.8 is the lowest in the region, correspondingly has a house-price-to-income ratio (the number of years of income needed to buy a home) of 16.6, the highest in the oecd after New Zealand. Japan’s ratio of 7.5 is among the lowest.
The problem of high house prices keeping young families from settling down is not unique to Asia. But Japan’s housing market is different. Unlike most rich countries, it has planning rules that make it relatively easy to build more homes. Housing stock in Tokyo has consistently grown faster than the city’s population (which is also still rising). Also, Japanese homes are not built to last, so they are demolished and replaced regularly. Wooden Japanese homes are deemed by the tax authorities to depreciate in value to zero over 22 years. That means that the secondary market in residential property is more limited, and gives landowners an extra incentive to rip down old buildings and build taller ones.
Economists debate how much of Japan’s relatively affordable housing is down to those policies on supply and construction, and how much is down to the country’s slow economic growth. But either way, the ease of building in popular areas is likely to keep prices in check.
Many Japanese are glad that their country seems likely to avoid total demographic collapse. But Japan still has by far the worst old-age dependency ratio, or the number of people over 65 (a lot) relative to the number of working-age people (not enough), among rich Asian countries. That has effects on everything from the affordability of health care for the elderly to the size of the government budget dedicated to pensions. The drop in fertility rates elsewhere presages similar problems to come for the countries following in Japan’s footsteps. They may find there are lessons to be learned from Japan.
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May 23rd, 2022 10:57 PM #172
you can trace china's demographic problem to its one child policy
now their gov't is allowing more children ayaw naman ng mga tao nila dahil magastos
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May 23rd, 2022 11:02 PM #173
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May 24th, 2022 02:33 PM #174mga ahente ng lupa sa ongpin pag nalaman may lote ka sa china tourist spot nag-aaswangan sa presyo as in sulutan GnaG.
100million to 150million for a 100sqm lot at hindi pa yan beijing at shanghai.
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May 24th, 2022 03:05 PM #175
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June 22nd, 2022 01:45 AM #176pinay yaya loves working in china
nag-iba na talaga buhay, madami na nag T.N.T. sa china. Buhay first world.
carl hui wai
Until this year end lang ang di na need ikulong next year is pag malaman nila na 8-10 years na na dito sa china na Wala bisa is ikukulong na daw ng 6 months
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carl hui wai,
sinu po nakapanuod ng news about dito sa new rules�� mga 2months n daw po nung binalita! now lang nabangit sakin ng kaibigan ko na may kaibigan n lispu amo��
espelita mhaico luistro
gusto lng nila mtkot tyo pra mg surrender na hahahah
criselda doco
noon ko pa narinig ang rule na yan 1 yrs pa aki a china...umabot me ng 5 yrs..di Karin na implement
anostra virgo zerpeal,
Alam nyu Guys sa Totoo lang Daming Haka Haka at Mga news nanasasagap natin nagbbgay satin.ng kaba at pagkabahala.tayung Mga pinoy Subra tayu kung magreact sa Mga news at tayu din.mismo nagpapahamak sa,sarili natin.hindi.lang tayu ang Over stay Dto sa china.daming Mga Ilang bansa Wala din silang Mga visa dto.tulad ng.indonesia myanmar negro.dami Dami Pero Tayung Mga pinoy lang Mahilig Magpost tungkol sa Mga rules ng Mga Os kung Anu na susunod na mangyayare.di natin Inisip na Ito Ung patunay na napakamaraming Mga pinoy Dto sa china Walang Mga visa Pero Imbes na,manahimik tayu Eh tayu pa kasi Mahilig Magpost ng Mga kung Anu anu.pinapahalata lang natin sa kanila na Mga Os tayu lalo na sa,mga,wechat groups kung SINO Ung Mga nahuhuli may Mga video Ipopost sa groupchat na Hindi Dapat Para di tayu mahalata.mga Indonesia or myanmar tahimik sila Kahit may Mga Kababayan sila nahubuli di sila nagpopost..kung Anu Man ang Mga Bagong rules By Next year Habang Gusto pa nating Kumita Dto Iready na natin sarili natin na Magipon ng to do to do Para kung sakali Man mahuli or susurender tayu may maiuuwi tayu at Hindi tayu nganga ..Sorry Just sayin.but it is true.dapat manahimik nalang tayu sa,mga pagpopost na pinapakita nating Subra Tayung apiktado...bahala na c God Satin Dto .Ilagay natin sa utak natin.guys HINDI TAYU CRIMINAL .OS TAYU OO PERO MARAMING CHINESE NA GUSTO ANG SERBESYO NATIN KAYSA SARILI NILANG TAO ..TAKE NOTE KMARAMING POLICE DTO SA CHINA KATULONG NILA MGA PINAY AT OS DIN..AT MARAMING ARTISTA DTO MGA HELPER NILA MGA PINAY.KAYA HABANG DITO PA TAYU MAGIPON AT MAGTRABAHO NG MAAYOS..
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June 22nd, 2022 03:46 PM #177sabi ng mga yaya sa china mga loko-loko daw media sa pinas. Nag ofw sila sa middle east, singapore, hongkong, pero sa china pinakamalaki sahod at meron 4days off mas magaan trabaho pwede matulog pag hapon kasama baby.
If masama daw china dapat pinaginitan pag overstay nila.
tama nga naman. If bad china eh dapat nag-uwian na sila or balik middle east.
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July 2nd, 2022 04:13 PM #178Amie Rose Galula
38m
tanong q lng po hnd po b nkkatakot sa china..?may offer kc ung amo q dati sa hk ..ung mggiging amo q kaibigan nya jan sa china.
comments
melanie mecate arellano
Wag ka matakot… ang mga chinese mababait sila. Do your part lang at wag tatamad tamad. Maging mabait ka sa knila at mmhalin ka nila
mayu beth cha
Ka takot ah kung wla kang visa un iba na man my visa un iba tumatakas cla sa amo nla nasisilaw sa mga malaking sahod ayon pinapahuli ng enployer marami ng case dito na ganyan��
josephine roberto
s totoo lng kht os ako dto s china pero safe p dto kng mahuli ka ikukulong k lng at mababait ang mga pulis dto hnd kagaya s pinas. Mas nkkaatakot p s mid east ksa dto s china mababait tao dto
melanie mecate arellano
true… mbabait mga tao dto khit maglakad ka ng alas dose ng gbi sa daan
josephine roberto
over stay pg nahuli kulong pero mababait ang mga pulis dto yng iba natatagalan lng s kulongan pero d minamaltrato
mai lin
dami ko narinig n ganyan s mga friend ko nung nag apply pa lang ako haha dahil ung mga supervisors nmin s pabrika ay puro tsekwa eh mababait nman .ung agent ko d ko kilala pero nagtry pa din ako haha. masasabi k na tama lng tong decision na na dto napunta
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