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  1. Join Date
    Oct 2002
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    21,373
    #771
    Kaya if you want to maintain your purchase volume, need mo maglabas ng fresh capital.
    Signature

  2. Join Date
    Jun 2004
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    3,485
    #772
    Sweldo nalang hindi tumataas [emoji23]


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  3. Join Date
    Oct 2002
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    40,396
    #773
    Mga mahinang nilalang tayo dito eh.

    Hinde kumita ng limpak-limpak during pandemic katulad ni Kags. [emoji23]


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  4. Join Date
    Sep 2015
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    13,917
    #774
    ^
    oo nakatatLo open passbook.

    2021 = daLawa bank ng ty famiLy

    2022 = sy famiLy.

    ALL in trueQC

  5. Join Date
    Jul 2016
    Posts
    775
    #775
    Today's the last day of QE. US Dollar is still well alive after all the QE operations that happened since 2009. Contrary to what most people said will happen..

    Click image for larger version. 

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  6. Join Date
    Nov 2005
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    45,927
    #776
    Quote Originally Posted by ratboy View Post
    Today's the last day of QE. US Dollar is still well alive after all the QE operations that happened since 2009. Contrary to what most people said will happen..

    Click image for larger version. 

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    everyone predicted inflation when the Fed did QE in response to 2008 financial crises but there was no inflation

    coz QE money didn't reach regular people

    this time there's inflation coz pandemic stimulus* went directly to regular people and the $$$ got spent

    yan ang pagkaiba ng QE dati at QE ngayon (check US inflation 2021)


    *fiscal spending funded by QE (US gov't issued treasuries, the Fed monetized the treasuries)
    Last edited by uls; March 9th, 2022 at 06:12 PM.

  7. Join Date
    Jul 2016
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    775
    #777
    Quote Originally Posted by uls View Post
    everyone predicted inflation when the Fed did QE in response to 2008 financial crises but there was no inflation

    coz QE money didn't reach regular people

    this time there's inflation coz pandemic stimulus* went directly to regular people and the $$$ got spent

    yan ang pagkaiba ng QE dati at QE ngayon (check US inflation 2021)


    *fiscal spending funded by QE (US gov't issued treasuries, the Fed monetized the treasuries)
    No inflation back then even though they supressed interest rates as there was no credit boom. Banks also became cautious to lend money after lehman collapse.

    Ngayon naman 2 rounds of fiscal stimulus along with congested supply chain, Binawi tuloy ng fed yung inflation is transitory narrative

  8. Join Date
    Nov 2005
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    45,927
    #778
    Quote Originally Posted by ratboy View Post
    No inflation back then even though they supressed interest rates as there was no credit boom. Banks also became cautious to lend money after lehman collapse.

    Ngayon naman 2 rounds of fiscal stimulus along with congested supply chain, Binawi tuloy ng fed yung inflation is transitory narrative

    i would argue it's the trillions of dollars of stimulus that f#cked up the supply chain (of course the pandemic also caused disruptions)

    locked-down americans spent their stimulus checks on amazon --> china's factories overwhelmed with orders --> shortage of shipping container / high shipping cost / too many ships arriving at US ports but port infrastructure couldn't unload ships fast enough --> ships anchored offshore for weeks waiting for their turn / not enough truck drivers to take containers out of ports (port congestion)

    too much $$$ pumped into the global economy

    too much $$$ chasing finite amount of goods -- inflation
    Last edited by uls; March 9th, 2022 at 06:52 PM.

  9. Join Date
    Jul 2016
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    775
    #779
    Quote Originally Posted by uls View Post
    i would argue it's the trillions of dollars of stimulus that f#cked up the supply chain (of course the pandemic also caused disruptions)

    locked-down americans spent their stimulus checks on amazon --> china's factories overwhelmed with orders --> shortage of shipping container / high shipping cost / too many ships arriving at US ports but port infrastructure couldn't unload ships fast enough --> ships anchored offshore for weeks waiting for their turn / not enough truck drivers to take containers out of ports (port congestion)

    too much $$$ pumped into the global economy

    too much $$$ chasing finite amount of goods -- inflation
    Its true, USA recently has the worst trade deficit in record. Could be one reason why money velocity remains relatively low even though inflation is high. They are just mostly importing goods using the freshly printed dollars.

  10. Join Date
    Nov 2005
    Posts
    45,927
    #780
    ^^^

    yes kaya malaki trade deficit ng US kasi halos one way lang ang trade

    asia --> US

    kaya nagkaroon ng container shortage sa asia

    asian exporters fill up containers and send to US

    but asia doesn't buy as much from the US so containers don't get sent back (tambak sa US mga empty container)

    shipping companies don't bother to gather and ship empty containers back to asia

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